The 2025 NFL season is starting to come into view, which means more NFL player props are being released with each passing week. Most of the national sportsbooks have posted 2025 NFL Rushing Yards Props for the league’s top players at running back and quarterback. In this article, I highlighted bets I’ve already made on Quinshon Judkins and Aaron Jones and a couple of additional wagers I considered.
Wagering your hard-earned money in the summer and waiting more than half a year for bets to be settled isn’t the easiest pill to swallow. Nevertheless, if we can get the best of the lines before the markets fully mature in the future, it will make the wait until the end of the season worth it in the long run. Make sure to shop around for the best lines and odds if you have access to multiple sportsbooks. You’re likely to see more volatility between books on NFL Futures in the off-season than you’ll see on game lines and player props during the season. Let’s see if we can find some value in these NFL Rushing Yards Props.
Check out all of my 2025 NFL Futures articles during the off-season and my Best Bets for the 2025 season. We finished up +59.83 units for the 2024 season, including +23.93 units on Futures wagers.
2025 NFL Rushing Yards Props
The table is sorted by Fantasy Points rushing yards projections. Target the Lowest Rushing Yard totals for over wagers and the Highest Rushing Yard totals for under wagers. I used DraftKings (DK), FanDuel (FD), BetMGM (MGM), Caesars (CZR), ESPN Bet (ESPN), and Bet365 (365) to find the best yardage totals as of June 4.
| PLAYER | FP Projection | Highest Total (under) | Lowest Total (over) |
| Derrick Henry (Bal) | 1713.9 | 1375.5 (-110, MGM) | 1250.5 (-130, ESPN) |
| Saquon Barkley (Phi) | 1632.9 | 1525.5 (-130, 365) | 1400.5 (-115, CZR) |
| Bijan Robinson (Atl) | 1368.0 | 1200.5 (-114, FD) | 1150.5 (-110, DK) |
| Ashton Jeanty (LV) | 1251.0 | 1075.5 (-114, FD) | 999.5 (-130, 365) |
| Jonathan Taylor (Ind) | 1247.0 | 1250.5 (-105, DK) | 1200.5 (+100, ESPN) |
| Bucky Irving (TB) | 1225.0 | 1050.5 (-110, 365) | 975.5 (-115, CZR) |
| Jahmyr Gibbs (Det) | 1213.6 | 1075.5 (-110, DK) | 975.5 (-135, ESPN) |
| Kyren Williams (LAR) | 1178.5 | 1025.5 (-130, 365) | 950.5 (-125, ESPN) |
| Josh Jacobs (GB) | 1131.1 | 1075.5 (-114, FD) | 1000.5 (-125, ESPN) |
| Joe Mixon (Hou) | 1051.2 | 955.5 (-110, MGM) | 875.5 (-130, ESPN) |
| James Cook (Buf) | 1043.0 | 950.5 (-110, DK) | 900.5 (-125, ESPN) |
| James Conner (Ari) | 1021.3 | 900.5 (-115, CZR) | 800.5 (-110, 365) |
| Breece Hall (NYJ) | 1019.3 | 925.5 (-115, CZR) | 900.5 (-110, MGM) |
| Tony Pollard (Ten) | 1012.9 | 850.5 (-114, FD) | 850.5 (-114, FD) |
| Chase Brown (Cin) | 996.2 | 850.5 (-110, 365) | 825.5 (-115, ESPN) |
| Chuba Hubbard (Car) | 987.8 | 950.5 (-115, CZR) | 900.5 (-110, 365) |
| Omarion Hampton (LAC) | 970.4 | 800.5 (-110, DK) | 750.5 (-115, ESPN) |
| Christian McCaffrey (SF) | 949.3 | 975.5 (-110, 365) | 925.5 (-114, FD) |
| Quinshon Judkins (Cle) | 944.2 | 625.5 (-110, DK) | 575.5 (-135, ESPN) |
| Kenneth Walker (Sea) | 928.5 | 875.5 (-114, FD) | 850.5 (-110, 365) |
| De’Von Achane (Mia) | 890.4 | 800.5 (-110, 365) | 800.5 (-110, 365) |
| Aaron Jones (Min) | 863.3 | 900.5 (-110, 365) | 725.5 (-115, CZR) |
| Lamar Jackson (Bal) | 855.0 | 775.5 (-110, 365) | 725.5 (-115, ESPN) |
| Jayden Daniels (Was) | 852.0 | 725.5 (-110, 365) | 675.5 (-110, DK) |
| Alvin Kamara (NO) | 827.7 | 850.5 (-110, 365) | 725.5 (-115, CZR) |
| Brian Robinson (Was) | 778.3 | 800.5 (-110, 365) | 725.5 (-115, CZR) |
| D’Andre Swift (Chi) | 743.7 | 850.5 (-110, 365) | 850.5 (-110, 365) |
| Jalen Hurts (Phi) | 639.0 | 600.5 (-110, DK) | 575.5 (-115, ESPN) |
| Josh Allen (Buf) | 543.0 | 500.5 (-110, MGM) | 450.5 (-130, ESPN) |
| Kyler Murray (Ari) | 443.0 | 500.5 (-110, MGM) | 475.5 (-110, DK) |
Brolley’s Bets
Aaron Jones (Min) under 900.5 rushing yards (-110, Bet365)
Risk 1.1 units to win 1 unit. Placed June 4.
Jones remained one of the league’s more explosive backs despite a change of scenery in his first season in his 30s. He exploded for 1138 rushing yards in purple and gold, but my concern is that his workload could be reduced after racking up a career-high 306 touches at 30 years old. He owned a 63.7% snap share and a 55.8% carry share with the Vikings lacking a viable second option behind him. Minnesota traded for Jordan Mason from the 49ers and handed him a two-year deal with $7 million guaranteed, which indicates he’ll have a bigger role than Cam Akers had as Jones’ backup. Mason wasn’t given many opportunities as a receiver in San Francisco, but he could split early-down carries with Jones. The Vikings want to preserve Jones for the entire season a little better than they did in his first season with the franchise, which is why we have Jones projected for 863.3 yards entering his age-31 season.
Quinshon Judkins (Cle) over 625.5 rushing yards (-110, Bet365).
Risk 1.1 units to win 1 unit. Placed May 6.
The Browns found their replacement for Nick Chubb when they selected Judkins 36th overall. Judkins immediately vaulted to the top of the depth chart ahead of Jerome Ford, and the Browns also added Dylan Sampson in the fourth round to be a change-of-pace option. The Browns could have one of the league’s worst offenses because of a disastrous quarterback depth chart, which could cost Judkins some early-down opportunities if the Browns are playing from behind most weeks. Cleveland’s offensive line ranked 11th in adjusted YBC/ATT (2.07) despite facing the highest average of defenders in the box (7.0) last season. Judkins’ draft capital suggests he should have a sizable role right out of the gates, and his rushing yards prop opened much shorter than the props for fellow rookies Ashton Jeanty (1050.5) and Omarion Hampton (800.5), who were the only two backs selected ahead of him. GM Andrew Berry used the phrase “bell cow” twice when describing Judkins during his introductory press conference. Judkins would need 157 carries at 4.0 YPC to clear his total, which is well within reach if he stays healthy.
Brolley’s Leans
Derrick Henry (Bal) over 1250.5 rushing yards (-130, ESPNBet)
Henry seemed to be a perfect fit for Baltimore’s potent rushing attack, and it somehow worked out even better than the Ravens could’ve dreamed. The King totaled a league-high 16 rushing TDs and finished behind only Saquon Barkley in carries (325) and rushing yards (1921). He logged career-bests in YPA (5.9) and success rate (58.8%), thanks to ranking third in YBCO/ATT (3.28), third explosive run rate (6.8%), and eighth in MTF/ATT (.21) among 46 RBs with 100+ carries. Henry has reached 280+ carries in five of his last six seasons, leading the league in carries in four of those campaigns.
He’s finished with 1538+ rushing yards in four of his last six seasons. He finished with 1167 yards on a six-win Titans team in 2023 and 937 yards when he broke his foot eight games into 2021. Baltimore is projected to be one of the best teams in the league once again, with a win total of 11.5, and he averages 104.7 rushing YPG and 5.21 YPA in victories during his career. We’re projecting Henry for a league-leading 1713.9 yards, and he’l have to suffer an injury or hit a wall in his age-31 season to fall short.
Bucky Irving (TB) over 975.5 rushing yards (-115, Caesars)
Irving went from being a change-of-pace option behind Rachaad White early in his rookie season to being a league-winning player by the end of it. He reached 15+ carries in each of his last six healthy games (postseason included), totaling 113 carries for 615 yards (5.4 YPA) in those contests. Irving ranked third in MTF/ATT (.26), seventh in explosive run rate (6.8%), and fourth in YACO/ATT (3.02) among 46 RBs with 100+ carries. The Buccaneers are unlikely to bottle up the dynamic young back after unleashing him in the second half of last season. Tampa Bay is also a +100 favorite to win the NFC South, which could create more positive game scripts for the second straight season. Bucky does have some durability concerns considering his smaller frame (5’10”, 195 pounds), and White and Sean Tucker aren’t going to completely disappear. We’re still projecting Irving to cruise over his total with 1225 rushing yards on 247.2 carries.
D’Andre Swift (Chi) under 850.5 rushing yards (-110, Bet365)
The Bears were among the favorites to select a running back early in the draft, but they were sniped multiple times before selecting Kyle Monangai in the final round. Swift and Roschon Johnson were among the biggest winners at the position after the draft, but the Bears are candidates to make a move at running back, like signing J.K. Dobbins or Nick Chubb. Ben Johnson previously worked with Swift during his time in Detroit, and he was there when the Lions unloaded him on the Eagles for a future fourth-round pick during draft weekend. Swift struggled away from the Eagles' offensive line, ranking 39th in YACO/ATT (2.14), 30th in YBCO/ATT (1.65), and 43rd in stuff rate (53.4%) among 46 RBs with 100+ carries. We’re projecting Swift to finish more than 100 yards below his rushing yards prop, and this total could dip if they bring in additional RB help before the start of the season.
