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2025 NFL Draft Props: Quarterbacks and Running Backs

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2025 NFL Draft Props: Quarterbacks and Running Backs

If you’re anything like me, you’ve been itching for betting opportunities since Super Bowl LIX concluded with the Philadelphia Eagles defeating the Kansas City Chiefs. I’ve already broken down Super Bowl LX odds and 2025 Season Win Totals for the upcoming season, and I’ll continue to add to my NFL Futures Best Bets throughout the off-season. The 2025 NFL Draft is quickly approaching on April 24-26, our one chance to bet on an actual NFL event before preseason action gets underway in August.

Unfortunately, my home state of Pennsylvania doesn’t allow betting on the NFL Draft since it’s not an actual sporting competition. Hopefully, you live in or near one of the states that are allowed to offer betting lines on this year’s draft, or you have access to an offshore betting account.

Since I don’t have access to draft lines in Pennsylvania, I’m using lines that are offered in New Jersey for this article. Make sure to shop around for the best lines and odds if possible. There’s a lot more volatility in odds between sportsbooks with an event like the NFL Draft than you’ll see on game lines or player props during the season.

I plan on updating my NFL Draft Prop articles and my NFL Draft Best Bets multiple times before the end of April, so check back throughout the month.

We’re thrilled to offer rookie scouting reports from Brett Whitefield from our 2025 NFL Draft Prospect Guide. I’ve included a small piece of his analysis for each player listed below. Be sure to sign up for a FREE account to get Brett’s complete analysis of over 150+ players.

2024 NFL Draft Results

OVERALL +6 units

Article Updates Since Initial Publication on April 4

  • Shedeur Sanders — Best Bet added on April 24.

  • Omarion Hampton — Best Bet added on April 14.

NFL Draft Quarterback Props

Cam Ward, Miami

Latest Mock Drafts

  • Daniel Jeremiah, NFL Network (April 23): First overall (Tennessee Titans), QB1

  • Dane Brugler, The Athletic (April 16): First overall (Tennessee Titans), QB1

  • Todd McShay, The McShay Report (April 23): First overall (Tennessee Titans), QB1

Consensus Mock Drafts

Fantasy Points Prospect Guide Analysis

Ward is the classic type of toolsy QB who still needs a lot of work on the details of the position. He has unteachable arm talent and playmaking ability that gives him an extreme amount of upside as a prospect — he is fully on the Caleb Williams and Drake Maye spectrum of QB. While there are some massive red flags in his profile, I see the vision with Ward and buy into the potential. The top of this QB class is competitive, with all three of my top guys scoring similarly but all offering very different skill sets and play styles as players. Officially, Ward scores as my QB3, but it's a tight race for those top spots, and none of them are the standout "can’t-miss" type of prospect.

Draft Prop to Consider

Number 1 Overall Pick: Cam Ward (-20000, Bet365) — Ward opened at +1500 odds to be the first player selected at the conclusion of last year’s draft. He went on to win the Davey O’Brien Award after throwing for 4313 yards and 39 TDs in 13 games during his only season at Miami. He’s now the overwhelming favorite to be the first player selected with April 24 quickly closing in — his implied odds of being selected first overall sit at 99%. Shedeur Sanders and Carson Beck each spent time as favorites last year before Ward jumped into the lead spot at the end of the NFL regular season. Travis Hunter and Abdul Carter each challenged to be the #1 overall pick in recent months, especially after Titans GM Mike Borgonzi said they “won’t pass on a generational talent” with the top pick in late January

Ward distanced himself from the field to become the heavy favorite in March. The Titans signed just Brandon Allen and Tim Boyle at the quarterback position and loaded up along the offensive line by inking Dan Moore and Kevin Zeitler. Ward also thought he’d be the top overall pick when he was seen speaking to Tennessee’s front office at his pro day in late March. Ward said after his workout, “[I told them] ‘I’m solidifying it today. They finally got to see me throw in person. That should be all they need to see.” The Titans and Sanders also agreed to cancel a private workout, which is a sign that Ward is their top quarterback on the board and that they aren’t considering trading out of the top spot. Unfortunately, the time to bet on Ward as the top overall pick has come and gone.

Shedeur Sanders, Colorado

Latest Mock Drafts

  • Daniel Jeremiah, NFL Network (April 23): 21 overall (Pittsburgh Steelers), QB3
  • Dane Brugler, The Athletic (April 24): 33rd overall (Cleveland Browns), QB3
  • Todd McShay, The McShay Report (April 23): 33rd overall (Cleveland Browns), QB3

Consensus Mock Drafts

Fantasy Points Prospect Guide Analysis

Sanders is a very polarizing QB prospect. On one hand, you have a handful of mouth-watering, high-floor QB traits in his accuracy, toughness, experience and decision making. On the other hand, you have what appear to be legitimate concerns about his ceiling (arm strength + athleticism). When you consider how murky the waters were at Colorado, it is really hard to put a thumb on just how limited his ceiling is. He overcame a lot as is, but we really didn’t get a clean look at him in a stable environment. It is also worth noting that QBs can develop as they mature physically, especially regarding arm strength — I think of Tom Brady right away. In conclusion, Sanders brings such excellent, high-level high-floor traits to the table that even with a potentially limited ceiling, he scores worthy of a top-10 selection for me.

Draft Prop to Consider

Team to Draft Shedeur Sanders: Cleveland Browns (+550, FanDuel) — Shedeur Sanders, the son of Deion Sanders, opened as the +100 favorite to be the first player selected at the end of last year’s draft. He finished his Colorado career as the all-time FBS leader in completion percentage (71.8%) on his way to winning the Big 12 Offensive Player of the Year award. He spent eight straight months as the favorite to be the first pick before Cam Ward overtook him at the end of the NFL season. Sanders is in danger of slipping into the back half of the first round or into the early second round. His draft position prop opened at 3.5 and his since slipped to 21.5, right in front of the Steelers at the 21st selection. The Titans will select Cam Ward first overall, especially after Tennessee and Sanders agreed to cancel a private workout in early April.

The Browns and Giants are likely to go in the direction of the top two overall defensive prospects in Abdul Carter and Travis Hunter. The Saints at ninth overall are the most popular landing spot for Sanders at 26%, and the Steelers are another popular destination for QBs later in the first round. There’s a good chance Sanders falls past those two teams, which would put the Browns back in play to select him with their second selection. The Browns own the first pick of the second round at 33rd overall, or they could slide into the first round since they have the NFL’s most draft capital. The Giants also desperately want to draft a quarterback, but they seemingly have more interest in Jaxson Dart — they’re odds-on favorites to select the Ole Miss QB. The Browns organization has had no juice during the Deshaun Watson era, but they could quickly flip the script by drafting Colorado teammates, Hunter and Sanders, with their first two picks.

Jaxson Dart, Ole Miss

Latest Mock Drafts

  • Daniel Jeremiah, NFL Network (April 23): 18th overall (New York Giants), QB2
  • Dane Brugler, The Athletic (April 24): 26th overall (Los Angeles Rams), QB2
  • Todd McShay, The McShay Report (April 23): 28th overall (New York Giants), QB2

Consensus Mock Drafts

Fantasy Points Prospect Guide Analysis

Dart brings a lot of my preferred traits to the table. He can operate a play as designed and is mostly a good decision-maker. He has a nice toolbox at his disposal, which includes good arm talent, accuracy, and athleticism. His overall playstyle and game remind me of a mix of Bo Nix and Jayden Daniels. Dart isn’t quite on Daniels’ level of athleticism but thrives in the quick-hitting rhythm-based system, attacking defenses deep, and using his legs. Among my top three passers in the 2025 class, I believe he plays the QB position the most like an NFL QB while possessing enough positive traits to give him a high ceiling, and therefore ranks as my QB1.

Draft Prop to Consider

2nd QB Drafted: Jaxson Dart (+210, BetRivers) — Cam Ward has lifted and separated from the rest of the field to be the first quarterback selected at -20000 odds (99.5% implied odds). Shedeur Sanders was comfortably ahead of Dart to be the second quarterback selected, and he holds a significant advantage over him in expected draft position (18.4>27.1). Sanders has lost significant momentum as draft day nears, while Dart has surged from a potential Day Two pick before the Combine to a first-round pick in recent weeks. Dart is coming off a season in which he took home first-team All-SEC honors by throwing for 4279 yards and 29 TDs.

Dane Brugler wrote in early March that it wouldn’t be a shock if Sanders is selected in the top six or falls out of the first round entirely, and it’s looking like he’ll fall out hours before the draft. Our Brett Whitefield has Dart ranked as his top quarterback prospect and 10th overall, slightly ahead of Shedeur Sanders (QB2, 12th) and Cam Ward (QB3, 13). He believes all three bring different skill sets to the NFL and are attractive for different reasons, but Dart is the “slightly cleaner evaluation.” Dart won’t bring the circus to town like Sanders and his father will, which could serve as a tiebreaker for some teams. Dart is no longer a longshot to be selected ahead of Sanders, and it takes just one QB-needy team to value Dart more than Sanders for this prop to hit. Todd McShay slotted in Dart ahead of Sanders in his most recent mock draft, giving Dart to the Giants at 28th overall and Sanders to the Browns at 33rd.

NFL Draft Running Back Props

Ashton Jeanty, Boise State

Latest Mock Drafts

  • Daniel Jeremiah, NFL Network (April 23): Fifth overall (Jacksonville Jaguars), RB1

  • Dane Brugler, The Athletic (April 24): Fifth overall (Jacksonville Jaguars), RB1

  • Todd McShay, The McShay Report (April 23): Sixth overall (Las Vegas Raiders), RB1

Consensus Mock Drafts

Fantasy Points Prospect Guide Analysis

Jeanty officially scores as the 5th highest RB I have ever evaluated, right between Saquon Barkley (2nd overall pick) and Jahmyr Gibbs (12th overall). In Jeanty, teams are getting a rare combo of bell-cow back with extremely explosive playmaking upside. He checks all three boxes of my "premium" traits for running backs: vision, burst, and the ability to create beyond blockers. He also has shown extreme toughness, considering the absurd workload he endured in college without a hiccup. Jeanty is a stud.

Draft Prop to Consider

Ashton Jeanty draft position: Under 6.5 (-350, Bet365) — Jeanty took home the Doak Walker Award after leading the FBS in rushing attempts (374) and rushing yards (2601) last season. He finished behind only Travis Hunter for the Heisman Trophy. He could find himself selected shortly after Hunter at the top of the draft. Jeanty headlines what could be one of the best RB classes in recent memory. It features nine RBs inside the top 75 players on Brett Whitefield’s Big Board and 21 RBs inside his top 150 players. The position has been devalued in recent years, but the group has gained momentum heading into 2025. Saquon Barkley and Derrick Henry powered their teams to the top of the league after being allowed to hit free agency.

Bijan Robinson was the last RB selected inside the top-9 picks in 2023, which ended a five-year drought since Barkley last did it in 2018. Jeanty appears poised to do it this year with his expected draft position sitting at 7.8. The Raiders have been the most popular landing spot for Jeanty in mock drafts at 46%. Las Vegas GM John Spytek told SiriusXM he’ll face some heat from his family if he doesn’t select Jeanty. Spytek said, “My son has made it no secret that if we don’t pick Ashton Jeanty at No. 6 that he’s walking out of the family…He basically told Mark Davis if my dad doesn’t take him he’s doing a bad job.” Jeanty then emerged as the potential pick for the Jaguars at fifth overall during the week of the draft. He now has two potential outs for this under to hit if you’re willing to lay the large negative price.

Omarion Hampton, North Carolina

Latest Mock Drafts

  • Daniel Jeremiah, NFL Network (April 23): 26th overall (Los Angeles Rams), RB3
  • Dane Brugler, The Athletic (April 24): 20th overall (Denver Broncos), RB2
  • Todd McShay, The McShay Report (April 23): N/A

Consensus Mock Drafts

Fantasy Points Prospect Guide Analysis

In a typical running back class, Hampton would be the RB1. In fact, he scores a whole round higher than any back in last year's class, albeit 2024 was a down year at the position. Hampton is a mutant-like runner who is tailor-made to benefit from the running renaissance that is happening in the NFL right now. Defenses don’t want the smoke he has to bring to the table. He is the type of runner who will haunt second-level players the day before games. In Hampton, teams are getting a versatile, bell-cow runner with untapped potential in the pass-game. Simply put, he is a stud and I have to wonder if his presence in the class will lead to teams playing "chicken" with Ashton Jeanty a bit.

Brolley’s Best Bet

Omarion Hampton draft position: Under 20.5 (+115, BetRivers) — Hampton would be the top RB prospect in most classes in the last decade, but he’s been overshadowed by Ashton Jeanty. He led the ACC in rushing yards in back-to-back seasons, scoring 15 rushing TDs in each campaign. The Raiders, Bears, and Cowboys are each looking for a running back early in the draft and picking inside the top-12 selections. The Lions traded D’Andre Swift during the 2022 draft after they surprisingly selected Jahmyr Gibbs with the 12th overall pick. Ben Johnson served as Detroit’s offensive coordinator during that stretch and is now the head coach in Chicago, and there’s plenty of speculation that he could push Swift into a smaller role by selecting a back early in the draft.

The Broncos, Steelers, and Chargers could also consider drafting a running back in the first round. They own three consecutive picks from 20-22 overall. Denver at 20th overall has been Hampton’s most popular landing spot in mock drafts at 65% of the time, and a team selecting later in the first round or in the early second round could look to jump the Broncos to land Hampton. My only concern is that RB-needy teams will be patient come draft time because of the depth of the running back class. Other books have Hampton’s draft position set at 19.5 so make sure to bet the under at 20.5 to include the Broncos at 20th overall for this under wager.

Brolley’s Best Bets

  • Team to Draft Shedeur Sanders: Cleveland Browns (+550, FanDuel). Risk .5 units to win 2.75 units. Placed April 24.

  • Omarion Hampton draft position: Under 20.5 (+115, BetRivers). Risk 1 unit to win 1.15 units. Placed April 14. Bet this prop at under 20.5 to include the Denver Broncos at 20th overall, which is Hampton’s most popular landing spot.

Tom is a Senior Writer at Fantasy Points who specializes in fantasy and betting analysis. He’ll be helping you to navigate the waiver wire and manage your fantasy teams while also keeping our betting content robust all year long, especially during the season. Tom's Best Bets against the spread won at a 60% clip or better in each of the last two seasons and he owned the last undefeated team out of 3000 entries in Scott Fish Bowl 12.